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Business Growth

Mid-Year Auto Lending Review Shows Promise and Opportunity

Financial institutions reporting their mid-year results revealed some areas of promise for a positive year, as well as some areas for improvement.  Auto loan originations and balances were up at several banks, reflecting a rise in car purchases post-pandemic shutdown. Ally, Chase and Wells Fargo originated $58.1 billion in auto loans in the second quarter, up 23.1% from 2020’s second quarter and up 8.3% from the first quarter. Auto balances at Bank of America, Chase and Wells Fargo were $165.8 billion as of June 30, up 5.2% from a year earlier and 1.7% from March 31.

Among credit unions, CUNA estimated that total car loans stood at $392.8 billion on May 30, up 3.9% from a year earlier and up 1.4% from March 31. While this level of performance is likely on the high end, it does indicate strength in the auto finance market.  

Plan for the best, prepare for the worst

The positive gains experienced by credit unions in the auto loan space may well continue through the remainder of the year, as the economy continues to expand and people return to work. Consumer balance sheets remain healthy due to increased savings, low interest rates and government stimulus money, increasing their ability to borrow and pay for a vehicle. But prices for both new and used vehicles have risen exponentially and inventories remain tight. Outbreaks in COVID-19 coupled with the decline in consumer sentiment could prove a mixed bag for credit unions.

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Business Growth

On Auto Loan Volume – Things Are Looking Up

Credit unions have seen many positive signs in the past couple of months. Interest rates continue to remain at record lows, cash deposits surprisingly have increased, loan delinquencies are down, the unemployment rate is improving, and auto sales are looking strong.  For credit unions looking to increase their auto loan origination portfolio, the forecast for the coming quarters is bright. Let us unpack some of these details and ensure you get the greatest return on investment.

Credit union members added deposits faster than the institutions could lend them, resulting in a 19.1 percent YoY increase and a 12-month record. This influx in cash has prompted institutions to expand their loan criteria to capture a broader range of loan originations.  Consider evaluating your loan approval process to consider those high-value customers who experienced a blip in their employment history, recently graduated from college but have a higher debt-to-income ratio, or thin-file clients who are adding a side gig and need a different type of vehicle. There are many strong indicators which can make these loans profitable and expand a credit union’s market share to new communities and demographics.

Categories
Business Growth

New Horizons Ahead in the Used Car Market

Have you paid attention to the used-car market this year? Previously viewed as less desirable by some lenders, used cars are gaining some cachet. Unfortunately, credit unions appear to be missing the boat. According to the recently issued Experian State of the Automotive Finance Market Report for the second quarter of 2020, market share for credit unions in used car financing has declined precipitously since the same time last year. Experian’s report posted a 3.9 percent market share decline to 24.9 percent.

Why the decline? Several factors are likely at play. The market for used cars has grown exponentially. In June, franchised car dealers sold 1.2 million used cars and trucks, according to Edmunds, up 22 percent from 2019. It was the highest monthly total since at least 2007. Credit unions have lower market share with franchised dealers and so are missing the bulk of this sales volume.

New unit inventory issues are also creating a perceived demand for older cars, fed by a roughly two-month halt in production of new cars earlier in 2020. In the first seven months of the year, automakers produced 6.6 million cars and light trucks in North America – three million fewer than in 2019, according to Automotive News. Additionally, consumers are keeping their vehicles for up to 12 years and receiving a tidy sum if they choose to sell, slowing the revolving door of used car inventory.