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Tax Season Will be Bigger…But Take Longer

Here’s some good news. According to the most recent IRS data, the average tax payer will see a four percent increase in their refund versus the same time last year. This boost in 2024’s average refund size is due to the IRS’ adjustment of many tax provisions for inflation. The standard deduction and tax brackets were set seven percent higher for the current 2023 tax filing year. Because of that, workers whose pay didn’t keep up with last year’s high inflation are on track to get bigger tax refunds, with some lucky ones likely to receive up to 10 percent more in 2024.

And now the bad news. It might take longer to receive that tidy refund than in years past. While the IRS says it issues more than 90 percent of tax refunds within three weeks of receipt, the agency is quite a bit behind that pace in 2024. Several reasons factor into the delay. The agency had an additional week to process returns last year and the overall number of taxpayers filing on time is down. Changes to the tax code, increased safeguards against identity theft, as well as new “Where’s My Refund” tracking software have all impacted processing speed.

For retail automotive dealers and lenders who are counting on the April refund bump in car sales, it’s time to put another plan in place. According to a new study from Bankrate, half of all Americans scheduled to receive a refund are planning to use their checks to pay down debt or bolster savings versus a making a big purchase such as a vehicle. However, there are opportunities for credit unions to boost the odds of capturing those consumers who do decide to apply a tax refund towards a vehicle.

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Business Growth

The Value in Used Leasing

The auto industry is changing – again. If you’re like me, you probably feel whiplash from all the changes that have affected the automotive industry in the last few years. From pandemic shutdowns and parts shortages to sky-high interest rates, automotive lenders have faced the challenge of auto loan portfolios continuously testing the boundaries of risk mitigation.

The Wall Street Journal recently reported that the costs related to car ownership continue to outpace the consumer price index. Aside from insurance, gas, parking, and maintenance, the auto loan itself has reached epic proportion. According to the latest State of the Automotive Finance Market report from Experian, the average amount financed on a new vehicle for 2023 was $40,366 with an average monthly loan payment of $738 with loan terms up to 85+ months.

These costs alone are not sustainable for consumers or lenders. According to Credit Union Leasing of America, over-extension is one of the primary concerns for credit unions in the 2023 auto-finance landscape.

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Business Growth Economy

Accelerate Auto Loan Volume This Tax Season

2024 has begun in an interesting fashion. Americans seem to be generally skeptical about the economy and their own financial well-being even though data reflects that the economy is actually quite robust. Consumers are spending briskly, which typically suggests optimism, not retrenchment. Inflation has tempered. Unemployment has been below 4% for 24 straight months, the longest such stretch since the 1960s. Despite these gains, many feel their long-term financial security is vulnerable to wide-ranging social and political threats, especially during this election year.

Some metrics reflect that consumer sentiment about the economy may be starting to improve. According to the University of Michigan monthly review, consumer sentiment recently posted the biggest two-month increase since 1991. Yet it remains about 20% lower than during the robust economy of early 2020, just before the COVID-19 pandemic started.

As lenders in the automotive market, this time of year is usually quite lucrative as buyers are in the market looking for deals. However, high interest rates and vehicle prices have kept many consumers on the sidelines.  The overall average auto loan interest rate was 7.03% for new cars and 11.35% for used cars in 2023’s third quarter, according to Experian. The average transaction price for a new vehicle in December was $48,759, according to Kelley Blue Book.