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Business Growth

The Impact of EVs on Auto Lending

Things are looking pretty rosy for credit unions in the auto lending space. According to the Experian Q4 2022 Auto Finance Market Report, credit unions now capture nearly 25 percent of new loans and experienced the highest growth within the auto lending market. Payments and loan amounts also increased year-over-year in 2022, adding more revenue to credit unions auto loan portfolios. Credit unions remain the best option for many consumers with rates at 5.5 percent versus banks, financing companies and other types of lenders.

In the used car space, credit unions have pulled ahead to become the number one option for financing with greater than 30 percent market share. Terms and rates increased across all types of credit segments while loan amounts and payments also increased. As with new loans, credit unions also offered the lowest rates at roughly 7 percent versus other financing options. But amid all the good news, 60-day delinquencies ticked up to above pre-COVID levels for the first time since 2018. For some segments of the economy, money woes are growing.

Opportunities in EVs on the horizon

 While sales of U.S. passenger vehicles fell in 2022, the number of electric vehicles (EVs) sold rose by a remarkable 65 percent, an increase of almost two thirds compared to 2021. EVs accounted for 5.8 percent of all new cars sold in the US, an increase from 3.1 percent the year prior. Industry projections expect the number of electric vehicles sold in the US will surpass the 1-million mark in 2023. This growth will be driven by OEMs increasing inventory, improved charging infrastructure, and affordability. The average price of an EV sold in the US last year was $61,448, a 5.5 percent decrease compared to 2021.

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Business Growth

Hedging a Seven-Year Auto Lending Bet

According to credit bureau Experian, 19 percent of new-vehicle debt and 11 percent of used-vehicle loan terms were 84 months in 3Q 2022. By comparison, Experian data revealed that only 11 percent of new-vehicle borrowers and 4.1 percent of used-vehicle borrowers in 3Q 2018 were on the hook for an 84-month auto loan. That’s seven years of debt on a vehicle that begins to depreciate the minute it’s driven off the lot. Outside of lending terms, how is your credit union hedging its bets in the automotive lending space?

Rising vehicle costs, rising inflationary interest rates and continued concerns about the economy have prompted buyers toward lower monthly payments and longer-term loans. Lenders are also willing to offer pre-approved rates at upwards of 96-months on the strength of interest-derived revenue and low delinquency rates. But, how long can that last?

The state of auto lending is not a one-dimensional picture. Let’s look at some details to get a better view of the rewards – and risks – of long-term auto loans.

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Business Growth Compliance Economy

Will New Rules Hamper Growth?

Credit unions have notched the highest percentage of auto loan originations since 2007. Leveraging consumer inflationary concerns and lower interest rates, Experian’s “State of the Automotive Finance Market” report for the second quarter released Aug. 25 showed credit unions produced 25.8 percent of the loans and leases from lenders in the three months ending June 30, up from 18.3 percent a year earlier and 22.1 percent in this year’s first quarter. Pop the corks and let the confetti fly!

Inflation concerns are likely to remain for the rest of 2022. The Federal Reserve signaled earlier this month that it plans to continue its aggressive approach to raising interest rates, with a target of 4.0 percent. However, declining gas prices across the country prompted a notable increase in the Consumer Confidence Index for August. Purchasing intent and vacation intent also increased, indicating that monetary concerns have not made a noticeable impact on consumer behavior.

In fact, consumers have made overall improvements in their financial health since the pandemic. Experian’s Melinda Zabritski, Senior Director of Automotive Financial Solutions, has seen continued improvement in consumer credit scores over the last several years with a greater percentage falling in the prime category.