Tag: EFG Companies

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Economy

Play to Your Strengths for Success

The end of 2023 is on the horizon and lending in the retail automotive market seems a bit topsy turvy. Let’s consider a few data points:

  • August jobs report reflected an additional 187,000 jobs – but the unemployment rate jumped unexpectedly.
  • The Federal Reserve has paused interest rate increases for the time being – but inflation rose 0.6 percent in August to 3.7 percent, its biggest monthly gain of 2023.
  • While it seems the economy is cooling, the average interest rate on a new car is 14.09 percent and 14.34 percent for a used car.

The car buying consumer is in the midst of these juxtapositions. More people are employed than before the pandemic, but the ‘value’ of their paycheck continues to be hit hard by inflation. Availability of new and used vehicles is improving, but the ‘cost’ of a loan feels exorbitant, pricing many people out of the market. And, if the buyer has a vehicle to trade with a balance owed, the impact of negative equity may come as a surprise. According to Edmunds, the average negative equity value of auto trade-ins was $5,445 in April 2023, up nearly 24 percent compared with the previous year.

As a lender, what options are available to your team to continue to grow a strong lending portfolio while keeping customers out of a potential delinquency position? Here are some maneuvers that require a sharp pencil but should result in a win-win for both you and your customer.

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Categories
Business Growth

The Impact of EVs on Auto Lending

Things are looking pretty rosy for credit unions in the auto lending space. According to the Experian Q4 2022 Auto Finance Market Report, credit unions now capture nearly 25 percent of new loans and experienced the highest growth within the auto lending market. Payments and loan amounts also increased year-over-year in 2022, adding more revenue to credit unions auto loan portfolios. Credit unions remain the best option for many consumers with rates at 5.5 percent versus banks, financing companies and other types of lenders.

In the used car space, credit unions have pulled ahead to become the number one option for financing with greater than 30 percent market share. Terms and rates increased across all types of credit segments while loan amounts and payments also increased. As with new loans, credit unions also offered the lowest rates at roughly 7 percent versus other financing options. But amid all the good news, 60-day delinquencies ticked up to above pre-COVID levels for the first time since 2018. For some segments of the economy, money woes are growing.

Opportunities in EVs on the horizon

 While sales of U.S. passenger vehicles fell in 2022, the number of electric vehicles (EVs) sold rose by a remarkable 65 percent, an increase of almost two thirds compared to 2021. EVs accounted for 5.8 percent of all new cars sold in the US, an increase from 3.1 percent the year prior. Industry projections expect the number of electric vehicles sold in the US will surpass the 1-million mark in 2023. This growth will be driven by OEMs increasing inventory, improved charging infrastructure, and affordability. The average price of an EV sold in the US last year was $61,448, a 5.5 percent decrease compared to 2021.

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Categories
Business Growth

Hedging a Seven-Year Auto Lending Bet

According to credit bureau Experian, 19 percent of new-vehicle debt and 11 percent of used-vehicle loan terms were 84 months in 3Q 2022. By comparison, Experian data revealed that only 11 percent of new-vehicle borrowers and 4.1 percent of used-vehicle borrowers in 3Q 2018 were on the hook for an 84-month auto loan. That’s seven years of debt on a vehicle that begins to depreciate the minute it’s driven off the lot. Outside of lending terms, how is your credit union hedging its bets in the automotive lending space?

Rising vehicle costs, rising inflationary interest rates and continued concerns about the economy have prompted buyers toward lower monthly payments and longer-term loans. Lenders are also willing to offer pre-approved rates at upwards of 96-months on the strength of interest-derived revenue and low delinquency rates. But, how long can that last?

The state of auto lending is not a one-dimensional picture. Let’s look at some details to get a better view of the rewards – and risks – of long-term auto loans.

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