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Business Growth

Being Risk-Averse Doesn’t Work

Lenders learn early in their careers that taking a conservative, risk-averse lending position is the best strategy to maintaining a grade A rating and a healthy balance sheet. According to a recent research brief issued by TransUnion and the Filene Research Institute, credit unions are leaning too far on the conservative spectrum of lending, resulting in missed opportunities and undermining their long-standing reputation as the lenders who are best able to help the communities they serve.

The analysis reveals that many credit unions have extremely low delinquency and charge-off rates, signaling that their current lending approach no longer aligns with the true nature of a credit union – to be accessible to all people, regardless of credit profile. Through interviews, qualitative and quantitative data, many credit unions reported to TransUnion that they were losing valuable business for the sake of maintaining an unrealistic number for delinquencies and charge-offs.

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Economy

Economic Indicators Aid Forecasting

As we move through the second half of 2021, there are some economic indicators which should be considered when developing strategies for an auto lending portfolio in 2022.

According to Bankrate data as of June 30, 2021, the U.S. average rate for a 60-month new auto loan started the year at 4.24 percent and has dropped to 4.18 percent.  Similarly, rates on a 36-month used vehicle loan began at 4.53 percent and declined to 4.49 percent. The Federal Reserve has also signaled that it intends to keep interest rates low for the remainder of 2021 – and possibly into 2022.

Unemployment and growing debt are also important economic indicators to watch. According to Experian, the average annual percentage rates (APRs) on used and new car loans were 21.07 percent and 14.66 percent, respectively, for individuals with credit scores between 300 and 500. That compares with used and new car loan APRs of 3.71 percent and 2.41 percent, respectively, for those with top-tier scores between 781 and 850.

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Categories
Business Growth

Mid-Year Auto Lending Review Shows Promise and Opportunity

Financial institutions reporting their mid-year results revealed some areas of promise for a positive year, as well as some areas for improvement.  Auto loan originations and balances were up at several banks, reflecting a rise in car purchases post-pandemic shutdown. Ally, Chase and Wells Fargo originated $58.1 billion in auto loans in the second quarter, up 23.1% from 2020’s second quarter and up 8.3% from the first quarter. Auto balances at Bank of America, Chase and Wells Fargo were $165.8 billion as of June 30, up 5.2% from a year earlier and 1.7% from March 31.

Among credit unions, CUNA estimated that total car loans stood at $392.8 billion on May 30, up 3.9% from a year earlier and up 1.4% from March 31. While this level of performance is likely on the high end, it does indicate strength in the auto finance market.  

Plan for the best, prepare for the worst

The positive gains experienced by credit unions in the auto loan space may well continue through the remainder of the year, as the economy continues to expand and people return to work. Consumer balance sheets remain healthy due to increased savings, low interest rates and government stimulus money, increasing their ability to borrow and pay for a vehicle. But prices for both new and used vehicles have risen exponentially and inventories remain tight. Outbreaks in COVID-19 coupled with the decline in consumer sentiment could prove a mixed bag for credit unions.

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