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Business Growth

The Impact of EVs on Auto Lending

Things are looking pretty rosy for credit unions in the auto lending space. According to the Experian Q4 2022 Auto Finance Market Report, credit unions now capture nearly 25 percent of new loans and experienced the highest growth within the auto lending market. Payments and loan amounts also increased year-over-year in 2022, adding more revenue to credit unions auto loan portfolios. Credit unions remain the best option for many consumers with rates at 5.5 percent versus banks, financing companies and other types of lenders.

In the used car space, credit unions have pulled ahead to become the number one option for financing with greater than 30 percent market share. Terms and rates increased across all types of credit segments while loan amounts and payments also increased. As with new loans, credit unions also offered the lowest rates at roughly 7 percent versus other financing options. But amid all the good news, 60-day delinquencies ticked up to above pre-COVID levels for the first time since 2018. For some segments of the economy, money woes are growing.

Opportunities in EVs on the horizon

 While sales of U.S. passenger vehicles fell in 2022, the number of electric vehicles (EVs) sold rose by a remarkable 65 percent, an increase of almost two thirds compared to 2021. EVs accounted for 5.8 percent of all new cars sold in the US, an increase from 3.1 percent the year prior. Industry projections expect the number of electric vehicles sold in the US will surpass the 1-million mark in 2023. This growth will be driven by OEMs increasing inventory, improved charging infrastructure, and affordability. The average price of an EV sold in the US last year was $61,448, a 5.5 percent decrease compared to 2021.

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Business Growth

Hedging a Seven-Year Auto Lending Bet

According to credit bureau Experian, 19 percent of new-vehicle debt and 11 percent of used-vehicle loan terms were 84 months in 3Q 2022. By comparison, Experian data revealed that only 11 percent of new-vehicle borrowers and 4.1 percent of used-vehicle borrowers in 3Q 2018 were on the hook for an 84-month auto loan. That’s seven years of debt on a vehicle that begins to depreciate the minute it’s driven off the lot. Outside of lending terms, how is your credit union hedging its bets in the automotive lending space?

Rising vehicle costs, rising inflationary interest rates and continued concerns about the economy have prompted buyers toward lower monthly payments and longer-term loans. Lenders are also willing to offer pre-approved rates at upwards of 96-months on the strength of interest-derived revenue and low delinquency rates. But, how long can that last?

The state of auto lending is not a one-dimensional picture. Let’s look at some details to get a better view of the rewards – and risks – of long-term auto loans.

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Business Growth

2023 – Managing the Tipping Point

Credit unions have an extra reason to celebrate over the holiday and new year season. According to the third quarter State of Automotive Finance Market Report from Experian, credit unions now account for the majority of the auto loan market share. Whether they keep these gains in 2023 is yet to be seen. While Federal Reserve prime rate increases do not directly translate to increases in auto loan rates, there are some notable ripple effects that auto lenders are watching. Fluctuations in new and used car prices, higher down payments, longer loan terms, increased defaults, and loan-to-value ratios will all factor into the mix next year. We look forward to collaborating with our credit union lending partners and keeping the scales on an even keel.

GAP for some

Keeping a close eye on the loan-to-value ratio on every deal will be key for lenders in 2023. We encourage our lending partners to offer GAP on those deals with lower down payments and a higher risk of default if the vehicle is deemed undriveable and insurance coverage does not cover the replacement value. For some customers, having GAP coverage in addition to a vehicle service contract can mean the difference between a major tip of the scale or a manageable event.

Reaching the limit

Higher monthly payments and longer payment terms are becoming more common place as the price of both new and used vehicles continue to rise. While some buyers might focus only on the short term, auto lenders who look across their total portfolio might see signs of caution. Even credit union members who are considered prime can run into difficulty in uncertain economic times. Debt protection products such as WALKAWAY® can provide some counterweights to keep the scale in balance and protect positive revenue in 2023.

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