According to Wards Intelligence, U.S. light-vehicle sales softened in January after December’s strength. While January’s weaker results were likely a pull-back from December’s surge, affordability and inventory also played roles, with availability well below historically normal levels. At the same time, interest rates for financing purchases were at long-time highs, and the inventory mix on dealer lots is weighted toward higher priced vehicles.
Interest rates and inflation clearly put a damper on sales in 2023, but some positive economic news in January should prove beneficial. Consumer sentiment is showing signs of improving as inflation eases and gas prices drop across most of the country. Hiring picked up sharply in January as employers added a booming 353,000 jobs, highlighting a labor market that continues to defy high interest rates and household financial strains, while at the same time incomes of most Americans are growing.
Joe Langley of S&P Global Mobility notes the U.S. economy has shown a resilience that points toward growth “for the foreseeable future.” Sales of new vehicles should reach 16 million units this year, which is healthy but still short of the auto industry’s high-water mark of 18 million units set in 2018.