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Training

Training with a Capital ‘T’

According to Wards Intelligence, U.S. light-vehicle sales softened in January after December’s strength. While January’s weaker results were likely a pull-back from December’s surge, affordability and inventory also played roles, with availability well below historically normal levels. At the same time, interest rates for financing purchases were at long-time highs, and the inventory mix on dealer lots is weighted toward higher priced vehicles.

Interest rates and inflation clearly put a damper on sales in 2023, but some positive economic news in January should prove beneficial. Consumer sentiment is showing signs of improving as inflation eases and gas prices drop across most of the country. Hiring picked up sharply in January as employers added a booming 353,000 jobs, highlighting a labor market that continues to defy high interest rates and household financial strains, while at the same time incomes of most Americans are growing.

Joe Langley of S&P Global Mobility notes the U.S. economy has shown a resilience that points toward growth “for the foreseeable future.” Sales of new vehicles should reach 16 million units this year, which is healthy but still short of the auto industry’s high-water mark of 18 million units set in 2018.

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Dealership Training

Is Your Team Made Up Of Order Takers or Sellers?

Dealerships and salespeople alike have reaped the benefits of healthy profit margins over the last few years. However, just as the margin pendulum swung deep into seller’s market territory, it’s beginning its backward trajectory into a buyer’s market.

While inflation and lack of inventory have kept vehicle prices high. Interest rates, climbing debt, and lack of affordable vehicles are pressuring more consumers out of the market. According to Experian, during the first quarter of 2023 the average APR for prime consumers fell between 6.40 percent for new vehicles and 8.75 percent for used vehicles. Think about that for a second. If a prime consumer can’t get a rate below 5 percent, what does that mean for nonprime and subprime consumers?

As of 2021, Experian reported that nearly one in three Americans had a subprime credit score. So approximately 33 percent of your customers don’t qualify for an 8.75 percent APR. Their range spans from 8.86 percent to 21.32 percent. On top of the APR issue is rising debt. Because consumers purchased both new and pre-owned vehicles priced well above historical norms for the last three years, those three-year-old consumers are returning to dealerships with significantly less of their auto loan paid off. According to Edmunds’ fourth quarter data from 2022:

Categories
Economy Industry Trends

Successful Second Half Requires Flexibility

Do you have a strategic plan for the second half of this year? Granted, the retail automotive industry has been on a roller coaster lately. But now is the time to assess your dealership’s performance over the past two quarters and set some milestones to achieve your end-of-year profit metrics. A successful second half of 2022 will require some flexibility and willingness to change behavior.

Looking ahead, there are several factors which spell opportunity for dealers to capture notable revenue in the second half of the year. Strong consumer financial positions, credit terms which remain largely favorable, and continued pent-up demand bode well for savvy dealers. While the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates and recession rumblings linger, consumer financing is still discounted when compared to rates during the Great Recession. According to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) quarterly report, aggregate monthly personal income has rebounded to pre-pandemic averages and auto loan volume has recovered faster than in previous down-turns.

For dealers, these favorable credit terms also spell revenue opportunities for those who strategically manage their inventory purchasing and pipeline sales. While inventory and supply chains remain an issue, the wheels are beginning to turn and factories are cranking out more units, albeit maybe ones without heated seats or auto-folding mirrors. Used car inventory is also improving, with bulk-sellers like CarMax reporting sufficient inventory to meet 30 days’ worth of demand. Rising interest rates may also be working in the industry’s favor for once, prompting a bit of a cooling effect on demand and allowing OEMs to catch up.