Categories
Business Growth

Battling the Squeeze

Mark Rappaport President Simplicity Division EFG Companies
Contributing Author:
Mark Rappaport
President
Simplicity Division
EFG Companies

The Federal Reserve recently signaled a pause in raising interest rates, citing concerns about a slowing global economy and sluggish consumer spending. However, these two economic factors have been countered by strength in labor numbers and strong consumer spending in the first quarter. When asked, economic prognosticators and financial pundits say the economy reflects the lens through which it is viewed.

From a lender’s perspective in the automotive space, there are some unique mitigating factors. New vehicle prices continue to rise, pricing some consumers out of the market. Even with relatively low interest rates available for prime buyers, loan terms extended to upwards of 84 months leave consumers uncharacteristically exposed.

For those consumers who pivot away from a new vehicle toward a low mileage used vehicle, the picture is not much better. Low inventory and steadily rising used car prices put prime buyers in competition with traditional sub-prime buyers. Even used car auctions have seen a rise in general consumers willing to take a risk on untested vehicles.

These micro-economic issues do not reflect the macro-economic concerns of tariffs, lengthening loan terms and default exposure.  A record 7 million Americans are 90 days or more behind on their auto loan payments, as reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in February. This number is higher than during the wake of the financial crisis. Some economists warn that this is a red flag.

Given these factors, what levers are available for an auto lender trying to increase an auto loan portfolio?

Categories
Business Growth

Barely Banking: How To Grow Your Millennial Portfolio

Brien Joyce Vice President EFG Companies
Contributing Author:
Brien Joyce
Vice President
EFG Companies

The much-maligned Millennial demographic often gets dinged for their different approach to financial matters. With the advent of online payment methods, many in this generation rarely set foot in a bank or credit union. They don’t write checks; they demand direct deposit; and they transfer funds among friends electronically. So when it comes to financing a vehicle this group is often lacking connections to lenders. Unlike their parents, or grandparents, they don’t have a “banker.”

Recent research fielded by EFG Companies queried more than 500 Millennials across the U.S. about their banking habits and preferences. 68 percent utilize a traditional bank, nearly 26 percent use a credit union, and 6 percent do not use a bank at all. When asked about where they would go to get money for a vehicle, more than 30 percent said they would start with the dealership, and 12 percent said they had no idea. More striking, more than 60 percent had no idea of the benefits of financing through a credit union. This knowledge gap only complicates an otherwise sketchy financial situation for many Millennials.

According to a PwC survey, only 24 percent of Millennials surveyed could demonstrate basic financial literacy. Of those who have begun saving for retirement, a third said they were “not sure” how their money was invested.  As a group, their financial situations are not strong, having launched their lives later, strapped with student loan or other debt, with lower or missing FICO scores, and a history of postponing large financial purchases. In fact, according to the Project on Student Debt, 68 percent of 2015 bachelor’s degree recipients graduated with an average student loan debt of $30,100 per borrower.

Categories
Business Growth Economy

Smaller Tax Refunds to Bolster Competition

Brien Joyce Vice President EFG Companies
Contributing Author:
Brien Joyce
Vice President
EFG Companies

It’s tax season and that typically means big business for those operating in the retail automotive space. Dealers and lenders alike benefit when consumers flock to dealerships in March and April with tax refunds in hand.

However, this year the IRS is reporting about an eight percent decrease in the average tax refund. Having already processed more than 13 million tax returns, the average refund is landing around $1,865.

What can that buy when it comes to vehicles? If we go by the standard of putting 20 percent down on a new vehicle and at least 10 percent on a used vehicle, $1,865 doesn’t go very far.

According to Forbes and USA Today, the average new car costs $36,000, and used cars are retailing at $19,657 on average. That means this year’s tax refund isn’t even close to covering the down payment for a new vehicle, and consumers will still need to come up with about $1,000 to meet the 10 percent minimum for a used car down payment.

What does this mean for auto lenders? Most likely, fewer consumers will be shopping for vehicles this spring, and those that are in the market will likely be shopping for used vehicles. As the pool of consumers shrinks, lender competition should increase.