Categories
Economy Industry Trends

Are Today’s Vehicles and Buyers Mismatched?

Contributing Author: John Stephens Executive Vice President EFG Companies
Contributing Author:
John Stephens
Executive Vice President
EFG Companies

On October 3, General Motors made an announcement that many in the retail automotive space had been anticipating.  GM reported a 12 percent year-over-year increase in total sales in September to 279,397 units, driven by a 17 percent increase at Chevrolet and a nine percent increase at GMC. Crossover deliveries were up 43 percent and trucks were up 10 percent. Passenger cars were down 11 percent. Retail deliveries, which accounted for about 80 percent of sales, were up eight percent for GM’s best September retail performance since 2007. Not to be outdone, Ford Motor Co. said its sales rose nine percent, with a 21.4 percent increase in its F-150 pickup truck.

Some of this strong growth can be directly attributed to the recent natural disasters from Hurricanes Harvey and Irma. Economist Jonathan Smoke at Cox Automotive has said that 600,000 vehicles lost to the hurricanes in Texas and Florida will need to be replaced. Sales prompted by prior weather disasters generally increase within two months of the start of the recovery.

But there is more to this story. While truck sales have surged, passenger cars are down across the board, minus Toyota whose sales rose 15 percent thanks to the redesigned Camry sedan. So this begs the question – why are car sales stalled? Car manufacturers continue to throw money at the problem, offering incentives of over $3,500 per vehicle. Could the retail lot inventory be mismatched for consumer demand?

Categories
Economy

Watching the Economic Pendulum?

Contributing Author: John Stephens Executive Vice President EFG Companies
Contributing Author:
John Stephens
Executive Vice President
EFG Companies

The retail automotive industry has been riding a five year high with average 8.30 percent year-over-year increase in unit sales from 2011 to 2015 according to data from Wards Auto. With the rapid pace of automotive industry growth lending requirements loosened, longer term loans became the norm and more customers who had been holding off on purchasing a vehicle returned to dealerships.

Just like within any economic cycle, after a period of expansion, the pendulum swings to a period of economic reduction. And, everyone is avidly watching the signs to see when that pendulum will start to swing.

Experian’s latest State of Automotive Finance Market Report listed  average new vehicle loan terms increased to 67 months in 2015, while used vehicle loan terms increased to 63 months. This has resulted in a significant growth of negative equity on car notes.

Categories
Compliance

Are You Prepared for Expanding CFPB Influence?

Karen Klees, Certified Consumer Credit Compliance Professional, EFG Companies

 

Contributing Author: Karen Klees, Certified Consumer Credit Compliance Professional, EFG Companies

For the past few months, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) has made headlines with the implementation of their Larger Participant Rule. Now that more lenders are feeling the pressure, dealers can expect the shadow of the CFPB to creep over their operations, starting with documentation.

If you haven’t implemented a version of the National Auto Dealer Association’s (NADA) Fair Credit Compliance Guidelines, now is the time to do so. Expect to have banks, captives, finance companies, etc. asking for your written policies and procedures, as well as documented training, within the next few months as they prepare for CFPB investigations.

The CFPB initially preferred the establishment of a flat rate that does not change from one customer to the next, resulting in a flat fee or a fixed percentage of the amount financed for dealership compensation. However, in their recent settlement with Honda, they allowed for NADA’s guidelines to be implemented.