Categories
Economy F&I Industry Trends

2022 Predictions: Demand for Units Bodes Well for Dealers

2021 has felt like a dance with very complex steps, back and forth. In the first half of the year, the economy took a step back with severe semiconductor chip shortages, persistently high levels of COVID-19 infections across the country, and challenging labor shortages. As a result, the seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR) for August dropped to 13.09 million, reflecting a steady decline since the April peak of 18.5 million according to Motor Intelligence. The August reading was the weakest of the year and the lowest since June 2020’s 13.23 million rate, early in the COVID-19 pandemic.

Now, we are experiencing a different story. According to TD Economics, in October, U.S. vehicle sales took a step forward, rising by 6.5 percent month-over-month to 13.0 million SAAR units. Last month’s gain came in well ahead of expectations, which called for a more modest gain to 12.5 million units. These forward steps brought an end to five consecutive months of declines.

However, inventory availability is still taking a step back, putting a false cap on consumer demand. New vehicle inventory remains compressed, with estimates for October revealing that dealership supply slipped to an all-time low of just 20 days. The combination of strong demand and limited inventory has continued to exert upward pressure on new vehicle prices, which are estimated to be up nearly 20 percent from last year’s levels. The October gain indicates that at current depressed production levels, 12 million seems to be the natural floor for sales.

Categories
F&I

Drawbacks of A La Carte F&I

Whether you are a franchise or independent dealer principal, you want to offer the perfect blend of F&I products that match your inventory and your customers – as well as delivering the highest revenue. It can be tempting to pick and choose products from a couple different providers, in search of the perfect mix. But at the end of the day, there are many drawbacks to taking an ‘a la carte’ approach to your F&I menu. Let’s consider a couple of case studies to shed some light on the challenges of an ‘a la carte’ approach.

Independent dealer streamlines F&I, sees business and revenue boost

Novak Motors prides itself on the quality, value, and level of service offered within each rooftop, and has been recognized as the nation’s #1 lease return outlet. With locations in Texas, New York and New Jersey, this leading independent dealer has been recognized by CarGurus, CARFAX, and DealerRater.  But with all of these accolades, there was one major issue. Novak’s sales, F&I and back-office accounting teams were expending vast amounts of valuable time reconciling around three very different F&I providers.

Categories
Compliance F&I Training

Your Next Biggest Threat: Synthetic Fraud

Contributing Author: Steve Roennau Vice President Compliance EFG Companies
Contributing Author:
Steve Roennau
Vice President
EFG Companies

Those of us who are active on social media likely have created an “avatar” – an image designed to represent ourselves digitally. Defined specifically in computing language, an avatar is the graphical representation of the user or the user’s alter ego or character. The avatar image says, “This is the image I want to project,” but it might be less than accurate.

Even the person actually walking into your dealership might not be who they say they are – even if they have legitimate data, like a valid social security number tied to a legitimate address, to support their claim.

Synthetic fraud is the fastest growing form of identity theft in the U.S., comprising 80% of all new account fraud. The fraudulent tactic uses a combination of real and fake personally identifiable information (PII) to create new credit profiles and pump up credit scores, allowing the criminal to access goods and services.

The most common method of synthetic fraud is professional criminals using a variety of methods to make money exploiting the systemic weaknesses of the U.S. credit system.  It may involve theft of a child’s real identity and applying for an employer identification number (EIN). Then, the criminal builds a synthetic credit profile with the victim’s real name, social security number, and date of birth (DOB), with a different address or phone number. Next, the professional criminal applies for credit through mortgage refinancing or a car loan, which pulls the report from all three major U.S. credit bureaus (Experian, Equifax and TransUnion).  While the application may be denied, the process of reviewing the application creates a new credit profile at all three bureaus (also known as “tri-merging”) with the synthetic information. A few more steps and the fraudulent profile is complete, including lines of credit, employment history, mail received, etc. And now that criminal looks legitimate on paper.  

With synthetic fraud, everything may seem legitimate at first blush. For the dealer, they move a car off the lot. For the lender, they have a loan in good standing. Unfortunately, the person who was originally assigned the particular social security number has no knowledge of the loan, and may never find out until the loan defaults or fraud is uncovered.