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Economy Industry Trends

Perspective on the Auto Sales Plateau

Contributing Author: John Stephens Executive Vice President EFG Companies
Contributing Author:
John Stephens
Executive Vice President
EFG Companies

It’s official. Auto sales have plateaued. Dealerships across the U.S. are reporting low sales numbers in comparison to last year. Manufacturers have increased incentives, but no one’s taking the bait. These headlines give reason for pause and contemplation on the future of the retail auto market. But, let’s take a step back for a second.

According to Automotive News, the auto industry sold 17.5 million vehicles last year, representing a seventh straight year of growth. When put in that perspective, a plateau at 17.5 million vehicles doesn’t seem too bad.

Yes, vehicle sales aren’t hitting manufacturer projections, but seriously, how long did they really think sustained growth was going to continue? We’ve been in one of the longest economic expansions in U.S. history; the economy was bound to slow down at one point.

With that perspective in mind, economic indicators continue to be strong.  National unemployment has hit its lowest level since May 2007. We’ve seen strong jobs gains in recent months. According to CNN, wages rose 2.5 percent in the past 12 months, and the median price of a home has risen to $236,400. Lastly, consumers are still taking on debt. According to the Federal Reserve, consumer credit rose 4.8% annually in February.

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Economy

Making Hay With Used-Car Fever!

Contributing Author: John Stephens Executive Vice President EFG Companies
Contributing Author:
John Stephens
Executive Vice President
EFG Companies

Experian’s latest State of Auto Finance Market Report made headlines recently, painting a rosy picture for the used-vehicle market. Overall, pre-owned vehicles accounted for 55.61 percent of all financing in Q2 of 2016. Consumers across all credit tiers are flocking to pre-owned vehicles, with super-prime and prime consumers accounting for 44.95 percent of all pre-owned loans – a 2.6 percent year-over-year increase.

Dealers have ample opportunity to capitalize on this market dynamic with CPO programs and F&I products tailored to the pre-owned market.

Remember, the one hurdle pre-owned vehicles have always had to overcome is vehicle reliability. Even in this current market, you can bet vehicle reliability is still a hot button. In addition, those prime and super-prime consumers are used to another level of sophistication when it comes to customer service and they will expect no less when shopping for pre-owned vehicles. This combination makes strong CPO programs market differentiators.

Categories
Economy

Watching the Economic Pendulum?

Contributing Author: John Stephens Executive Vice President EFG Companies
Contributing Author:
John Stephens
Executive Vice President
EFG Companies

The retail automotive industry has been riding a five year high with average 8.30 percent year-over-year increase in unit sales from 2011 to 2015 according to data from Wards Auto. With the rapid pace of automotive industry growth lending requirements loosened, longer term loans became the norm and more customers who had been holding off on purchasing a vehicle returned to dealerships.

Just like within any economic cycle, after a period of expansion, the pendulum swings to a period of economic reduction. And, everyone is avidly watching the signs to see when that pendulum will start to swing.

Experian’s latest State of Automotive Finance Market Report listed  average new vehicle loan terms increased to 67 months in 2015, while used vehicle loan terms increased to 63 months. This has resulted in a significant growth of negative equity on car notes.