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Economy Industry Trends

Are Today’s Vehicles and Buyers Mismatched?

Contributing Author: John Stephens Executive Vice President EFG Companies
Contributing Author:
John Stephens
Executive Vice President
EFG Companies

On October 3, General Motors made an announcement that many in the retail automotive space had been anticipating.  GM reported a 12 percent year-over-year increase in total sales in September to 279,397 units, driven by a 17 percent increase at Chevrolet and a nine percent increase at GMC. Crossover deliveries were up 43 percent and trucks were up 10 percent. Passenger cars were down 11 percent. Retail deliveries, which accounted for about 80 percent of sales, were up eight percent for GM’s best September retail performance since 2007. Not to be outdone, Ford Motor Co. said its sales rose nine percent, with a 21.4 percent increase in its F-150 pickup truck.

Some of this strong growth can be directly attributed to the recent natural disasters from Hurricanes Harvey and Irma. Economist Jonathan Smoke at Cox Automotive has said that 600,000 vehicles lost to the hurricanes in Texas and Florida will need to be replaced. Sales prompted by prior weather disasters generally increase within two months of the start of the recovery.

But there is more to this story. While truck sales have surged, passenger cars are down across the board, minus Toyota whose sales rose 15 percent thanks to the redesigned Camry sedan. So this begs the question – why are car sales stalled? Car manufacturers continue to throw money at the problem, offering incentives of over $3,500 per vehicle. Could the retail lot inventory be mismatched for consumer demand?